Donald

Today, September 13, 2025Flat1m2f

Verdict

BELLAKAI (1) has to lump a lot of weight here, but she looks to have a clear class edge on her rivals. Most of the rivals here are either graduating from maiden wins or have been going around in a similar class of race to this, whereas she's barely seen BM56 grade. Nothing flattering about the last start effort but was a nice winner the start prior after a couple of runs in town. Even though well held in those efforts, it was far superior grade to this. LARRYOCTANE (4) is one of those coming off a maiden win but he was only third-up that day, so should have further improvement. WAY UP HIGH (7) strikes the most winnable race she's been in for a while so an improved effort would not shock. LARSEN BAY (5) quickly gets to 2200m and will be better for the two runs back. KELLY ANN (3) might have been flattered by the pattern last start but should again put herself on speed and give herself every chance.

1. Bellakai
4. Larryoctane
7. Way Up High

R5 2200m Hcap

5. 5. Larsen Bay
J: RHYS MCLEODT: PATRICK KEARNEY
F: 59x04
Price History:
3.50
Age:
6
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
61
Days Since Last Run:
11
Verdict
Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up ran last of 10 at Geelong Bm64 on August 22 over 1715m, 9 len behind Active Duty with 56.5kg at $31. Second run from a spell 4th of 10 at Benalla Bm56 on September 2 over 2100m, on a slow track; 0.9 len behind Durban Harbour carrying 60.5kg at $7. Wasn’t too far off the mark last time. Genuine hope on latest effort.
1. 1. Bellakai
J: RYAN HURDLET: SYMON WILDE
F: 27017
Price History:
4.50
Age:
6
Weight:
2-1
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
66
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Most recently second last of 8 at Warracknabeal Bm70 on August 30 over 2015m, 9 len behind Spylark with 56kg at $3.50. The start before that ran on from midfield and won by a long-neck at Murray Bridge Bm62 August 2 over 2000m on a soft track defeating Lavish Thinker with 58kg at $11. Big class drop here and looks the testing material.
7. 7. Way Up High
J: WILL PRICET: DAN O'SULLIVAN
F: 00905
Price History:
5.50
Age:
7
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
60
Days Since Last Run:
16
Verdict
Most recently 5th of 9 at Bendigo Bm64 on August 28 over 2400m, on a wet track; 11 len behind Perfetto carrying 57kg at $6. The race before that ran last of 12 at Sandown-Lakeside F&M Bm70 on August 20 over 2100m, 6 len behind She Said with 57kg at $61. Has ability and gets her chance to show what she can do.
4. 4. Larryoctane
J: LIAM RIORDANT: LUKE OLIVER
F: 2x541
Price History:
8.50
Age:
5
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
57
Days Since Last Run:
26
Verdict
Recent form sound. Last start won by a neck at Pakenham Synthetic Mdn-Sw August 18 over 2200m defeating Grassy Spur with 59.5kg at $4.60. Before that 4th of 14 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on August 1 over 1600m, on a slow track; 8 len behind Xtra Rush carrying 59.5kg at $14. No reason he can't go on with it here.
8. 8. Space Equity
J: CARLEEN HEFELT: LINDSAY CADZOW
F: 0x889
Price History:
9.50
Age:
11
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
55
Days Since Last Run:
13
Verdict
At the latest run 9th of 11 at Casterton 0 - 58 on August 31 over 2000m, slow going 14 len behind Buzzaroon with 59.5kg at $20. The race before that 8th of 13 at Murray Bridge 0-60 on August 13 over 2000m, 6 len behind Coorong Tycoon with 57kg at $9. Ready to peak after three runs back and can improve here.
6. 6. Smokin Rohie
J: TOM MADDENT: NELL CARTER
F: 65661
Price History:
9.50
Age:
5
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
57
Days Since Last Run:
23
Verdict
At the latest run won by 0.8 len at Warrnambool Mdn-Sw August 21 over 2000m on a soft track defeating Bernie Beel carrying 69.5kg at $4.80. The start before that 6th of 11 at Murtoa Mdn-Sw on July 26 over 2050m, on heavy track; 7 len behind Takemetothemoon carrying 57.5kg at $11. Finally broke last start but happy to risk in this tougher assignment.
3. 3. Kelly Ann
J: KATE WALTERST: WAYNE WALTERS
F: 78x1
Price History:
-
Age:
5
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
61
Days Since Last Run:
13
Verdict
Second run back. First-up after three months won by 0.8 len at Casterton Mdn-Sw August 31 over 2000m on a soft track defeating Coastal Whispers with 57.5kg at $31. Previously second-up 8th of 12 at Casterton 2yo+ Mdn-Sw on June 8 over 1200m, on heavy track; 6 len behind Tallapoosa carrying 57.5kg at $51. Had the pattern in her favour last start but hard to knock winning form.
9. 9. Grate Crack
J: MITCHELL AITKENT: HENRY DWYER
F: 93778
Price History:
12.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
53
Days Since Last Run:
53
Verdict
Comes off a 53 day let-up. Last start eased back early on 8th of 12 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm58 on July 22 over 1500m, 9 len behind Savamoon with 58.5kg at $61. The run before that 7th of 11 at Mildura 0 - 58 on May 25 over 2000m, 5 len behind Eight Under with 57.5kg at $9.50. Hard to make a case.
2. 2. Hot Suspect
J: CAMPBELL RAWILLERT: PAUL PREUSKER
F: 4x088
Price History:
13.00
Age:
9
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
61
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Last start ran last of 8 at Warracknabeal Bm70 on August 30 over 2015m, 11 len behind Spylark with 56.5kg at $21. The start before that second last of 9 at Murtoa Bm70 on July 26 over 2050m, on rain affected going; 24 len behind Goliotus with 57.5kg at $15. Likely to struggle.
10. 10. Tekapo
J: EOIN WALSHT: NELL CARTER
F: 10675
Price History:
19.00
Age:
7
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
49
Days Since Last Run:
13
Verdict
Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 11 at Naracoorte Bm58 on August 31 over 2000m, slow going 4.5 len behind Idon'tgetit carrying 56kg at $8. The race before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 13 at Strathalbyn 0-56 on August 20 over 2050m, slow going 4 len behind Fioreen with 56kg at $26. Looking to others.
11. 11. A Blue Star
J: ZOE WALLERT: PAUL GRAESSER
F: 20060
Price History:
41.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-10
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
44
Days Since Last Run:
37
Verdict
Comes here off a 37-day let-up. Most recently ran last of 10 at Ballarat Synthetic Bm58 on August 7 over 2100m, 22 len behind Tradeworx carrying 54kg at $41. The run before that 6th of 9 at Casterton 0 - 58 on July 27 over 1800m, on heavy track; 6 len behind Feargal carrying 65kg at $15. Drawn well, but form not good enough.

Donald

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