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Ellerslie

Tomorrow, Flat5fSoft
Verdict

STATE OF VALOUR (10) tried hard in LR company last start when 2nd -up at Hastings. Last three start of last prep were in G1 and G company. Right in this maiden. HERVEY BAY (1) has led and been rundown in tough fields all three starts this prep, the last two by short margins. Will give a sight again here. ASTRUM (9) got home strongly form midfield for a 3L 3rd to Shirase when fresh last start. Has solid claims again here. HANDSTAND (11) put in sound efforts on turf both start first prep in January when running on from midfield. Led on the synthetic and was reeled in when fresh last month. Better suited here. ROSSELLA (13) big late runs from the rear in both starts this prep including a half length 2nd to Spellbound last time. Keep safe.

  • 10. State Of Valour
  • 1. Hervey Bay
  • 9. Astrum
Win Only
  • 1. 1. Hervey Bay
    J: MICHAEL MCNABT: TONY PIKE
    F: 0x333
    Price History:
    2.63
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    60
    Days Since Last Run:
    21
    Verdict
    Form hard to fault. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 14 at Hastings on September 26 over 1300m, slow going 0.6 len behind First Up carrying 57kg at $5.80. Before that 3rd of 10 at Hastings on September 12 over 1200m, on heavy track; 0.2 len behind Startles with 57kg at $4.90. Tough to beat.
  • 10. 10. State Of Valour
    J: WARREN KENNEDYT: LANCE NOBLE
    F: 30x74
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    62
    Days Since Last Run:
    35
    Verdict
    Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 7th of 9 in the G3 Northland Breeders Stakes at Ruakaka on August 15 over 1200m, slow going 10 len behind She's No Saint carrying 57kg at $11.50. Second-up 4th of 7 in the LR Sir Colin Meads Trophy at Hastings on September 12 over 1200m, in the wet; 3 len behind Justin Case with 57kg at $12.10. Leading hope this time.
  • 2. 2. Be Water
    J: JASMINE FAWCETTT: ALEX OLIVEIRA
    F: 3x24x
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    56
    Days Since Last Run:
    279
    Verdict
    Is first-up after a break of nine months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign fourth of 14 at this track January 11 over 1400m, 2.25 len behind Atkins with 58.5kg at $9. First up last campaign second of 11 at Taupo December 28 over 1400m, soft track; a head behind Now Not Never carrying 57kg at $6.90. Has claims if presented on song.
  • 13. 13. Rossella
    J: -T: JENNA MAHONEY
    F: 6x22
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-10
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    54
    Days Since Last Run:
    28
    Verdict
    Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 11 at Ruakaka on September 2 over 1200m, on a slow track; 0.9 len behind Angels Halo with 52.5kg at $7.60. Second-up 2nd of 13 at this track on September 19 over 1200m, on a slow track; 0.5 len behind Spellbound with 52.5kg at $9.30. Rates highly. Racing well and looks perfectly placed to take this out.
  • 5. 5. Water Catcher
    J: OPIE BOSSONT: BRUCE WALLACE & GRANT COOKSLEY
    F: x89x3
    Price History:
    9.50
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    51
    Days Since Last Run:
    45
    Verdict
    Second run back. Comes off a 45-day let-up. First-up after 10 months 3rd of 14 at Ruakaka on September 2 over 1200m, slow going neck behind Unleash Yourself with 58.5kg at $10.90. Previously second-up 9th of 12 at Happy Valley on November 19 over 1200m, 4 len behind Lakeshore Hero carrying 54.5kg at $17. Should run well again and is definitely in the mix.
  • 9. 9. Astrum
    J: GEORGE ROOKET: ANNABELLE JOHNSON
    F: 739x3
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    51
    Days Since Last Run:
    34
    Verdict
    Second run back. First-up after seven months 3rd of 12 at Te Rapa on September 13 over 1200m, on a wet track; 3 len behind Shirase carrying 57.5kg at $11.10. Previously second-up 7th of 11 at Te Rapa on January 30 over 1200m, on a slow track; 4 len behind Katamuku with 56.5kg at $9.10. Fitter and is a leading contender.
  • 7. 7. Miesha
    J: ASHLEE STRAWBRIDGET: STEPHEN RALPH
    F: 7x220
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    58
    Days Since Last Run:
    21
    Verdict
    Most recently ran last of 14 at Hastings on September 26 over 1300m, on a slow track; 8 len behind First Up with 54kg at $11.10. The start before that 2nd of 12 at this track on September 5 over 1200m, slow going 0.0 len behind Miss Magnetica with 52kg at $22.70. Has the ability and looks one of the chances.
  • 4. 4. Cada Estrella
    J: COURTNEY BARNEST: DEAN WILES
    F: 28x
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    51
    Days Since Last Run:
    257
    Verdict
    Resuming after a nine months break. Finished off last campaign second last of 9 at Dubbo Mdn February 2 over 1200m, 7 len behind Vicious Rumour with 59.5kg at $14. On debut second of 9 at Armidale Mdn January 18 over 1100m, soft track; a head behind Love That Girl carrying 58.5kg at $3.90. Prefer to see how he returns.
  • 3. 3. Bold and Brave
    J: CRAIG GRYLLST: W HILLIS & R COLE
    F: 57x3
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    51
    Days Since Last Run:
    20
    Verdict
    Second-up. First-up after five months 3rd of 9 at Waverley on September 27 over 1200m, on heavy track; 1.5 len behind Major Houlihan with 58.5kg at $6.30. Previously second-up ran second last of 8 at Matamata on April 15 over 1200m, on rain affected going; 29 len behind Stay Frosty carrying 58kg at $21.10. Cannot be disregarded on the back of that sort of form.
  • 18. 18. I Am Fantasy
    J: -T: STEPHEN RALPH
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    47
    Days Since Last Run:
    0
    Verdict
    Dual acceptor. Gelding by I Am Invincible facing the starter for the first time. Won trial at Avondale over 1000m on September 24. Wait and see what he can do.
  • 14. 14. Carnelian
    J: SAMANTHA COLLETTT: PETER & SHAUN MCKAY
    F: 45
    Price History:
    21.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-10
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    50
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
    Verdict
    Had two starts to date. At debut, 4th of 8 at Matamata on September 16 over 1050m, on a slow track; 2 len behind Geneva Queen carrying 54kg at $6. Second-up 5th of 12 at Matamata on October 3 over 1200m, slow going 4 len behind Pilates carrying 54.5kg at $21.10. This race is well within her grasp.
  • 16. 16. Withallmystrength
    J: MASAHIRO HASHIZUMET: JENNA MAHONEY
    Price History:
    21.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    47
    Days Since Last Run:
    0
    Verdict
    Three-year-old gelding (Churchill - Araucaria) will no doubt benefit from the three trials prior to his debut today. Won a trial over 1100m at Ellerslie on September 15. Prefer to see how he performs under race conditions.
  • 12. 12. Parfait Dimanche
    J: -T: DONNA LOGAN
    F: 38x49
    Price History:
    21.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-10
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    60
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
    Verdict
    Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 4th of 12 at Te Rapa on September 13 over 1200m, on rain affected going; 4 len behind Shirase carrying 52kg at $5.20. Second-up 9th of 12 at Matamata on October 3 over 1200m, slow going 6 len behind Pilates with 54kg at $11. Great chance to atone.
  • 8. 8. Bordeaux Belle
    J: JACK TAPLINT: JOHN BELL
    F: x56x2
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    52
    Days Since Last Run:
    31
    Verdict
    Second run back. First-up after six months 2nd of 8 at Matamata on September 16 over 1050m, slow going 1.3 len behind Geneva Queen with 54.5kg at $15.50. Previously second-up 6th of 10 at Pukekohe on April 1 over 1200m, on rain affected going; 5 len behind Tiantai with 57kg at $21.30. Has never won second up and isn’t among the top hopes today.
  • 6. 6. Balls Of Fire
    J: LYNSEY SATHERLEYT: DAVINA WADDELL
    F: 458x7
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    8
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    48
    Days Since Last Run:
    31
    Verdict
    Second run back. First-up after six months 7th of 11 at Matamata on September 16 over 1200m, on a slow track; 9 len behind Ifbymagic with 56.5kg at $41.50. Previously second-up 5th of 14 at Avondale on November 6 over 1400m, on a slow track; 3 len behind Zerre with 58.5kg at $32.90. Might find this a bit too tough.
Non-Runners
  • 11. 11. Handstand
    J: JOE DOYLET: G A & D G ROGERSON & CLINT ISDALE
    F: 23x3
    Price History:
    -
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    54
    Days Since Last Run:
    17
    Verdict
    Second-up. First-up after nine months set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 8 at Cambridge Synthetic on September 30 over 970m, 2.5 len behind Centurial with 56kg at $11. Previously second-up 3rd in a small field at New Plymouth Raceway on January 24 over 1200m, in the wet; 3.5 len behind King Of The Air with 56.5kg at $5.70. Hard to beat.

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