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Balaklava

Tomorrow, Flat7f
Verdict

ROYAL FOX (2) has the most dependable recent profile, with a narrow second at Murray Bdge followed by a seventh at Gawler where he was only beaten two and a half lengths after making ground from well back. His 1600m record is sound, Todd Pannell goes back on, and the recent line through Hamner Springs adds further substance. Can produce a winning run here. EMPIRESTATEOFMIND (1) is the main danger on set-up, dropping out of Class 1 company and returning to a venue where he has already won, though the shorter trip asks him to sharpen up. Likely to measure up this time. HAMNER SPRINGS (5) is better than the wide-run 11th at Gawler suggests and his two wins at the distance keep him right in play. OR AM I (8) backs up quickly after having difficulty getting clear at Gawler and brings a solid mile record with a useful claim. Can measure up with the right run.

  • 2. Royal Fox
  • 5. Hamner Springs
  • 8. Or Am I
Win Only
  • 2. 2. Royal Fox
    J: TODD PANNELLT: JESSICA TZAFERIS
    F: 70327
    Price History:
    3.20
    Age:
    8
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    56
    Days Since Last Run:
    21
    Verdict
    Worked home from the rear when seventh at Gawler last start, beaten two and a half lengths by Taupo Tiger in a run that was better than the finishing position reads. He was pipped at Murray Bdge two back after tracking the speed and has four wins at the mile, with Todd Pannell back aboard. Proven at the mile and looks the one they have to beat.
  • 3. 3. Victory Lane
    J: SOPHIE POTTERT: KAREN LETTS-MAUND & JEFF MAUND
    F: x0905
    Price History:
    4.75
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    56
    Days Since Last Run:
    17
    Verdict
    Made some late ground from well back when fifth at Strathalbyn last start, beaten just over six lengths after jumping awkwardly on soft ground. Two back he was last in a BM62 at Morphettville Parks, but that wide run had more against it than the margin shows. Apprentice claim helps and he can be included for a minor placing.
  • 5. 5. Hamner Springs
    J: BROOKE KINGT: GRANT YOUNG
    F: 11470
    Price History:
    7.50
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    54
    Days Since Last Run:
    21
    Verdict
    Covered ground throughout when 11th at Gawler last start, beaten just under six lengths, so that run is easy enough to assess more kindly. Four days earlier he led in a BM68 at Morphettville Parks and was only beaten four lengths. Two mile wins and a strong rider record keep him firmly in contention.
  • 10. 10. Miss Kasei
    J: ALYSHA WARRENT: DARREN & AIMEE MAGRO
    F: 7x894
    Price History:
    7.50
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    53
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
    Verdict
    Finished fourth at this track over 1400m last start, beaten just under five lengths after racing handy and failing to go on with it. She had genuine excuses in a Class 1 at Gawler two back, racing wide and being hampered, but she now tries around 1600m for the first time. Some hope if she relaxes, but she is only a rough chance.
  • 8. 8. Or Am I
    J: POLLY BREWSTERT: JESSICA TZAFERIS
    F: 38186
    Price History:
    9.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    55
    Days Since Last Run:
    9
    Verdict
    Had difficulty getting clear when sixth at Gawler last start, beaten just over five lengths at long odds, and she backs up quickly with the stable clearly pressing on. The Strathalbyn Class 1 run before that was disappointing after leading, but her record around 1600m is solid and Polly Brewster's 3kg claim is a useful offset. Solid mile record and 3kg claim give her a better chance than the last margin suggests.
  • 11. 11. Dodd
    J: LAUREN STOJAKOVICT: SHANE & CASSIE OXLADE
    F: 30x35
    Price History:
    8.50
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    48
    Days Since Last Run:
    9
    Verdict
    Was ready to pounce at Gawler last week but was only fair late when fifth, beaten just under five lengths by Shalhavmusik. His Strathalbyn third prior was stronger, travelling well before picking up and finishing close enough to matter. Has placed at the mile and looks a genuine top-three chance.
  • 13. 13. Togetherforever
    J: HARRY GRACET: LINDA TRELOAR
    F: 47400
    Price History:
    13.00
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    1-10
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    46
    Days Since Last Run:
    7
    Verdict
    Ran 11th at Mt Gambier last week, beaten just over six lengths at big odds, and while she made some impression, she was never really in the hunt. The Gawler run prior was weaker again, finishing last and beaten over 11 lengths after having the right spot before offering little. Hard to build a strong case on current form.
  • 6. 6. Kamikaze Fighter
    J: TEAGAN VOORHAMT: INDIANNA WEINERT
    F: 48x00
    Price History:
    19.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    53
    Days Since Last Run:
    21
    Verdict
    Has been well held in both runs this campaign, finishing second last at Gawler last start after settling rearward and making no ground. His first-up run at Murray Bdge was worse, beaten out of sight at big odds despite racing wide throughout. Third-up now, but recent form is hard to recommend.
  • 4. 4. Augusta Rock
    J: ALICE LINDSAYT: KATE HALLIDAY
    F: 42107
    Price History:
    21.00
    Age:
    11
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    55
    Days Since Last Run:
    11
    Verdict
    Was seventh in a BM70 at Jamestown last start, beaten four and a half lengths, with stewards noting he raced keenly and was held up early. That gives him some excuse, but his Murray Bdge run before that was plain when second last and unwanted in the market. Must find more to trouble the main hopes.
  • 7. 7. Kryal Castle
    J: TALA HUTCHINSONT: MARGARET COLLETT
    F: 091
    Price History:
    21.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    56
    Days Since Last Run:
    11
    Verdict
    Broke through in a small-field Mdn at Jamestown last start, beating Don'T Say Do by a nose after starting $7. That was at picnic level and she now strikes a harder meeting, while her Gawler run prior was a clear defeat in Mdn grade. Place at best for now.
  • 14. 14. Cowleys Creek
    J: SHUICHI TERACHIT: TREVOR DAY
    F: 89265
    Price History:
    41.00
    Age:
    11
    Weight:
    1-10
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    44
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
    Verdict
    Settled well back at this track over 1400m last start and was just fair late when fifth, beaten just under seven lengths at long odds. His Quorn BM52 run prior was also a clear defeat despite being near the top of an open market. Others appeal more.
  • 12. 12. Laybuy
    J: WESLEY CAVET: TREVOR DAY
    F: 33500
    Price History:
    51.00
    Age:
    10
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    46
    Days Since Last Run:
    39
    Verdict
    Returns from a five-week freshening after being beaten a long way in a BM64 at Morphettville Parks, where he was at long odds and never a factor. He had also finished last in a BM78 at Morphettville the run before. Place only.
Non-Runners
  • 9. 9. Miss Trombari
    J: JORDYN WEATHERLEYT: RAHARNA MCDONALD
    F: 53826
    Price History:
    6.50
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    54
    Days Since Last Run:
    8
    Verdict
    Was only fair through the line when sixth in a BM62 at Mildura last week, beaten seven and a half lengths at big odds. Her Strathalbyn second two back reads better, particularly as she was held up from the 250m before fighting on for a minor prize. More a place hope than a winning push.

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