pokercasinosports
pokercasinosports

Nowra

Tomorrow, Flat5fSoft
Verdict

PONZI SCHEME (10) placed at Moruya over this trip on soft ground, beating Let's Engage in the same race. He is third-up, race fit, and his run prior contained a slow start, so the latest effort reads as the better guide. Drawn out but with some luck, he'll knock over this maiden. FIERCE CRITIC (4) has stronger back-form than most of these and resumes with two trials behind her; the plain Warwick Farm finish before the spell is a query, but her Hawkesbury placing before that keeps her right in the race. Can resume with a bang. MARDYKE (6) was well held on debut at Caulfield Heath. She was awkwardly away there and has been readied for this with two Flemington jumpouts. Creates interest. VELASTRA (14) kept on fairly on debut at Wyong, has trialled since and brings an improving lightly-raced profile. Key player. NICOLOSI (7) has had three trials in readiness so she can run a forward race on resumption.

  • 10. Ponzi Scheme
  • 4. Fierce Critic
  • Mardyke
Win Only
  • 7. 7. Nicolosi
    J: WINONA COSTINT: GAI WATERHOUSE & ADRIAN BOTT
    F: 8x
    Price History:
    2.88
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    164
    Verdict
    Returns from a six-month break after being sent out odds-on at Wyong on debut and finishing eighth, beaten three and a half lengths after leading to the turn. There was no clear excuse, but she comes from a high-class family headed by LIBERTINI and has trialled four times, including an earlier win. Can resume on a positive note.
  • 8. 8. Baylies Folly
    J: ASHLEY MORGANT: MATTHEW SMITH
    F: 46x
    Price History:
    3.50
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    207
    Verdict
    Returns from a lengthy spell after finishing sixth in a CG Open at the Kenso, beaten six and a half lengths on soft ground after finding little late. His Warwick Farm debut had more merit when fourth, beaten three and a half lengths over 1000m. Warwick Farm debut was sound enough to give him place claims.
  • 1. 1. MacCbi
    J: MATT KIRKT: JIM & GREG LEE
    F: 52x25
    Price History:
    6.50
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    22
    Verdict
    Kept grinding when fifth at Kembla last start, beaten just under four lengths in provincial company after settling midfield and failing to finish it off. His Hawkesbury second before that was stronger, beaten just over a length at long odds. Place claims look stronger than win appeal.
  • 14. 14. Velastra
    J: SHAUN GUYMERT: RICHARD & WILL FREEDMAN
    F: 57
    Price History:
    9.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    1
    Verdict
    Returns from a two-month freshening after a Wyong debut fifth, beaten four and a half lengths, where she settled rearward and kept on without threatening. She was at long odds there but rates well off that recent form for a race of this shape. Drawn out but has shown some class and the form out of her debut run stacks right up.
  • 15. 15. Gianluca
    J: ALYSHA COLLETTT: KERRY PARKER
    F: 57x64
    Price History:
    13.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    22
    Verdict
    Ran on from well back for fourth at Kembla Grange last start, beaten three and a half lengths at big odds after covering ground. That was a clear step in the right direction from his Moruya sixth, where he was easily accounted for. Weight relief and a strong jockey booking make him a place hope.
  • 11. 11. Acknowledge Me
    J: KEAGAN LATHAMT: ROBERT & LUKE PRICE
    F: 7x
    Price History:
    15.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    120
    Verdict
    Returns from a four-month break after a fair Kembla Grange debut, where she was slow away and finished seventh, beaten just over six lengths over 1000m on soft ground. The $160,000 filly has to show more at 1200m.
  • 17. 17. Cold Mist
    J: DALE COLET: PAUL MURRAY
    F: 3x224
    Price History:
    15.00
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    36
    Verdict
    Returns from a five-week freshening after a solid Kembla Grange fourth over 1400m, beaten just over two lengths after working home well. He had been second at Moruya before that and his 14-start maiden record is the main knock. Carries more now, so place appeal is strongest.
  • 12. 12. Lets Engage
    J: LOUISE DAYT: ANTHONY MOUNTNEY
    F: 94
    Price History:
    17.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    16
  • 4. 4. Fierce Critic
    J: GRANT BUCKLEYT: MATTHEW SMITH
    F: 5320x
    Price History:
    21.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    228
    Verdict
    Returns from a lengthy spell after a poor Warwick Farm finish where she was eased down late and beaten over 15 lengths. That is the obvious blemish, but her Hawkesbury second the run prior, beaten just under a length, is good enough for this and she has had two trials since racing. Was tested in metro company before the break and her recent trials suggest she can fire on resumption.
  • 3. 3. Zousari
    J: -T: JASON COYLE
    F: 32752
    Price History:
    23.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    1
    Verdict
    Had some excuse at Newcastle when tightened passing the 200m and beaten just under two lengths in a small field, coming out of provincial company to an easier meeting. The run prior at Kembla Grange was plain over 1400m, where he made late ground without threatening. Back in country grade but others rate better.
  • 20. 20. So Superior
    J: MOLLY BOURKET: AMANDA TURNER
    F: 6304x
    Price History:
    21.00
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    147
    Verdict
    Returns from a five-month break after a close fourth at this track on heavy ground, beaten a length and a half after leading deep into the straight. That was much better than his Kembla Grange run prior, where he faded right out. Trial was good, but the long maiden record is hard to ignore.
  • 9. 9. Fizz Wizz
    J: JESS TAYLORT: MATTHEW SMITH
    F: 3
    Price History:
    26.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    30
    Verdict
    Returns from a one-month freshening after a sound Canberra debut, where he jumped awkwardly, settled back and made steady ground for third at long odds. He now has to stretch from 1000m to an untried 1200m and the wide barrier makes the task less straightforward. Untried at 1200m from a wide draw, but has a place profile.
  • 5. 5. Persona Non Grata
    J: JEFF PENZAT: STEPHEN HILL
    F: 0x98
    Price History:
    31.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    1
    Verdict
    Returns from a one-month freshening after finishing ninth at Illawarra Grange, beaten three and a half lengths at big odds despite working home evenly after early contact. His debut at Kembla Grange was weaker, finishing last and unwanted in the market. A close trial offers some hope, but the exposed race form is thin.
  • 19. 19. Be More Pacific
    J: -T: DONNA GRISEDALE
    F: 4258x
    Price History:
    67.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    137
    Verdict
    Returns from a five-month break after finishing well held on heavy ground at Coffs Harbour, where he was near the top of an open market but gave ground late. His Inverell fifth before that was more competitive, beaten just over two lengths. Better than the Coffs Harbour flop, but 1200m form is a query.
  • 18. 18. North Star Miss
    J: -T: THERESA BATEUP
    F: 839x4
    Price History:
    67.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    14
    Verdict
    Picked up fairly first-up at Cootamundra, finishing fourth and beaten three lengths after being steadied mid-race. That was better than her Hawkesbury ninth before the spell, but she has only one placing from six starts and her 1200m record is modest. Looking to others.
  • 13. 13. Tesstify
    J: DAMON BUDLERT: KEVIN CASSIDY
    F: 6
    Price History:
    71.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    16
    Verdict
    Was safely held on debut at Moruya, finishing sixth on soft ground and beaten six and a half lengths after settling well back and only battling through the line. She was unwanted in the market and was beaten home by both Ponzi Scheme and Let's Engage. Considerable improvement required.
  • 16. 16. Koo Koo Achoo
    J: -T: JOSEPH IBLE
    F: 8x7
    Price History:
    91.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    33
    Verdict
    Returns from a five-week freshening after being well beaten at Moruya, finishing seventh and beaten over 12 lengths at big odds after beginning slowly. Her debut at Queanbeyan was also only fair, with slow starts a recurring issue. Weight relief helps, but slow starts and an untried 1200m are concerns.
Non-Runners
  • 2. Pariah Time
    J: -T: LUKE PEPPER
    F: 2663x
    Price History:
    12.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    69
    Verdict
    Returns from a three-month break after a third at this venue when beaten just under three lengths on soft ground, with the wide run adding some merit. He had also been close enough at Illawarra Grange despite losing gear late. Wide run last time gives some excuse, but 60kg and a winless profile temper confidence.
  • 10. 10. Ponzi Scheme
    J: -T: MITCHELL BEER & GEORGE CARPENTER
    F: 5x83
    Price History:
    19.00
    Age:
    3
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    16
    Verdict
    Improved sharply third-up at Moruya, finishing third over this trip on soft ground and beaten just over two lengths after settling close enough to strike. The wide draw asks for a clean run, but he beat Let's Engage there and his previous start included a slow getaway over 1000m. Better performance last time when back to country level and that looks strong form for this.
  • 6. Mardyke
    J: PIERRE BOUDVILLAINT: EDWARD CUMMINGS
    F: 6x
    Price History:
    41.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    0
    Days Since Last Run:
    151
    Verdict
    Returns from a five-month break after a plain Caulfield Heath debut, where she jumped awkwardly and finished last, beaten nine and a half lengths on soft ground. That run was at long odds, so improvement was always likely with experience. Fitter for a couple of Flemington jumpouts and she makes appeal at this level on resumption.

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